On housing, the parties split over who should build, not whether prices should fall
Every party we plotted wants cheaper housing. They divide instead over whether
government should be the one building it.
20 September 2026n = 230 Greens, 195 OPP, 152 Labour, 43 ACT, 43 NZ First, 27 National
This is the first in a new series that looks at one policy topic at a time, instead of
putting two parties side by side. Housing and cities is first because it came up as one
of the more pressing issues in the sample regardless of who someone voted for, and
because it splits into a few genuinely different questions: how bad the crisis is,
whether prices should fall, whether to build up, whether government itself should be
doing the building, and whether cycling should come before roads.
The numbers below come from 690 responses split across six parties’ voters: 230
Greens, 195 OPP, 152 Labour, 43 ACT, 43 NZ First and 27 National. Two of the five
statements, house prices and cycle lanes, were added to the survey more recently.
ACT’s and National’s samples on those two fall below the size needed to plot
them at all, so they’re left off those two statements below. NZ First clears that
bar, but only just, so its numbers there are a direction, not an exact position.
Every party wants cheaper housing. They split over who should build it.
Each dot is a party's mean answer on the nine-point agreement scale. Rows run from the narrowest party spread to the widest. n = 230 Greens, 195 OPP, 152 Labour, 43 ACT, 43 NZ First, 27 National. A party is left off a statement's row when too few of its voters answered it: 'House prices must come down' (ACT, National); 'Cycle lanes over roads' (ACT, National).
As with every piece in this series, this is a self-selected sample that skews younger
and more online than the country as a whole, so treat it as directional, not a poll.
ACT and National are the smallest groups here, and on the two newest statements they
don’t have enough responses to be plotted at all. You can see exactly
who has answered so far.
Section 1 of 6
Where the parties split
The clearest split in this topic holds up across all six parties, not just the bigger
ones, and the split is over who should fix housing, not over whether it needs fixing.
Should government just build houses itself?
The statement reads “it is silly to think that the government can build houses
faster than private developers,” so agreeing means doubting that government-led
building would help. Greens voters disagree, averaging -0.44: they think government
could build faster. OPP and Labour lean the same way, at -0.23 and -0.12, though both
groups’ middle half crosses into agreement too. ACT and National agree firmly, at
+0.65 and +0.46, while NZ First sits close to neutral at +0.09. Greens to ACT is a gap
of 1.09 points, and all six parties have a large enough sample here to stand behind
their own number: a real left-right divide over whether government should build
housing directly or leave it to the market.
It is silly to think that the government can build houses faster than private developers.
The dot is the party's mean answer; the line spans the middle half of the party's answers, lightly smoothed. n = 690 respondents across 6 parties.
Cycle lanes over roads: a second wide split, on fewer parties
Asked whether cycle lanes and walking paths should be a higher funding priority than
roads, Greens voters lean toward agreeing at +0.43. OPP and Labour lean the same way, at
+0.22 and +0.19, though both groups’ middle half crosses neutral. NZ First
disagrees firmly, at -0.68, on a sample small enough to read as direction only. That is
a gap of 1.12 points among the four parties with enough responses to plot. ACT and
National are left off entirely: this newer statement doesn’t have enough answers
from their voters yet.
Building dedicated cycle lanes and walking paths should be a higher funding priority than roads.
The dot is the party's mean answer; the line spans the middle half of the party's answers, lightly smoothed. n = 171 respondents across 4 parties. ACT and National are left off: too few of their voters answered this statement.Section 2 of 6
Where the parties agree
Strip out those two statements, and the other three in this topic cluster far more
tightly.
The housing crisis, whoever you vote for
Asked whether the housing crisis is one of the most pressing issues facing the
country, every party’s mean lands on the agree side: Greens +0.62, OPP +0.63,
Labour +0.53, NZ First +0.49, ACT +0.26 and National +0.21. The gap between the
highest and lowest mean is just 0.41 points, the narrowest in this topic, though
ACT’s and National’s middle half both dip slightly below neutral, so read
their agreement as a lean rather than a certainty.
The housing crisis is one of the most pressing issues facing New Zealand today.
The dot is the party's mean answer; the line spans the middle half of the party's answers, lightly smoothed. n = 690 respondents across 6 parties.
House prices should come down
A newer statement asks directly whether house prices need to come down, even if that
reduces current homeowners’ wealth. Greens, OPP and Labour all lean toward
agreeing, from +0.64 down to +0.54. NZ First leans the same way but more softly, at
+0.22, on a sample small enough to read as direction only. ACT and National are left
off this statement: it is one of the two added most recently, and too few of their
voters have answered it yet.
House prices need to come down, even if that reduces the wealth of current homeowners.
The dot is the party's mean answer; the line spans the middle half of the party's answers, lightly smoothed. n = 171 respondents across 4 parties. ACT and National are left off: too few of their voters answered this statement.
Build more apartments and townhouses
Greens, OPP, Labour and National all agree the country should build more apartments
and townhouses, averaging between +0.45 and +0.64. ACT leans the same way at +0.32.
NZ First is the outlier here, averaging just +0.10, with a middle half spanning -0.43
to +0.55, the widest internal spread of any party on any of the three agreement
statements above: NZ First’s own voters don’t agree with each other on this
one nearly as much as the other parties agree with themselves.
We should build more appartments & townhouses in our cities.
The dot is the party's mean answer; the line spans the middle half of the party's answers, lightly smoothed. n = 690 respondents across 6 parties.Section 3 of 6
House prices unite them. Cycle lanes don’t.
We tested all ten pairs among this topic’s five statements for how well two
statements together separate the parties, the same test used across this series. Most
pairs add little beyond what one statement alone already shows, since statements in
the same topic tend to move together. House prices against cycle lanes is worth a
closer look anyway, not because it separates the parties best on paper, but because of
the shape of the split it reveals.
Across everyone plotted, the two statements correlate only weakly, at r = +0.22.
Counting only respondents who weren’t neutral on either, Greens voters mostly
agree with both (85%, n = 53) and so do OPP voters (64%, n = 59). NZ First’s much
smaller sample leans the other way: toward agreeing prices should fall while
disagreeing that cycle lanes should be funded ahead of roads, though too thinly sampled
here to put a number on. Wanting cheaper housing is close to universal among the
parties with enough data to say so. Wanting to get there partly by spending less on
roads is not.
Dots are party means; the ellipse spans the middle half of each party's answers on both statements, lightly smoothed. Across everyone plotted the two statements correlate at r = +0.22. ACT and National fall below the plotting minimum for this pair and are not drawn; treat NZ First's dot as direction only.Section 4 of 6
Which statements move together
The strongest relationship here is between thinking the housing crisis is pressing and
wanting prices to come down: r = +0.49 across everyone plotted. Restricted to Greens
voters alone, the largest group in this sample, the same two statements correlate even
more strongly, at r = +0.58. Averaged across every pair in the topic, the within-Greens
correlations differ from the whole-sample ones by 0.11 on average, so this mostly is not
an artefact of party vote lining up with everything: these statements move together
inside a single party’s voters too.
The strongest negative relationship sits between wanting government to build houses
itself and wanting cycle lanes funded ahead of roads, at r = -0.43. Voters who’d
rather government built housing directly are, more often than not, the same ones who’d
rather fund cycling than roads: one more sign this pair taps the same left-right divide
as the statement behind this post’s headline split above.
Each cell is the correlation between two statements over respondents who answered both. Diagonal cells are each statement against itself and carry no number.Section 5 of 6
Where housing and cities sits on the compass
Housing and cities loads mostly on the left-right axis, which on this survey is not a
purely economic axis: it blends economic and social views. Averaged across the five
statements, the pull sideways is about 0.10, against roughly 0.04 up or down, so this
topic separates parties along the same axis that already divides them on tax and
welfare, not the authoritarian-libertarian one. Build more apartments leans furthest off
that line, carrying a modest libertarian pull too. On the live compass, positive
movement on the second axis points toward libertarian, drawn at the bottom; the
crosshair marks the political centre, not an extreme.
Each highlighted line is one statement's loading, direction and length; the faint lines are every other statement in the survey for context. The crosshair at the centre is the political centre; positive loadings on the second axis point toward the libertarian, bottom end of the live compass.Section 6 of 6
How sure are we
Three of these six groups are large enough that their averages are fairly settled:
Greens (230), OPP (195) and Labour (152). ACT (43) and National (27) are smaller but
still comfortable on every statement except the two newest, house prices and cycle
lanes, where too few of their voters have answered yet: they’re left off those two
rather than shown on a handful of responses. NZ First (43) clears that same bar there by
the narrowest possible margin, so treat its numbers on those two as direction, not a
settled position. Every other finding above draws on a sample large enough to stand on
its own.
As with every piece in this series, this is a self-selected sample that skews younger
and more online than the country as a whole. You can see exactly
who has answered so far.
For how the compass and this kind of breakdown are built, see the
methodology page.
Want to see where your own answers land? Take the survey at
kiwivalues.nz.